Charlotte 1-0 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.55
X/2
10%
7.14
X/X
16%
4.36
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
5.36
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.18/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.18
-27% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
22.5 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.19 xG 1.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
414 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-1 HT 2-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
03.09.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
21.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-2 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
10.07.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 4-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
1-0
AWAY Nashville SC
0.39 xG 0.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
398 Passes 355
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte squeezed past Nashville SC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Charlotte had 53% of the ball to Nashville SC's 47%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.39 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Charlotte and 1.50 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Nashville SC?

Charlotte 1-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 42%, draw 30%, Nashville SC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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