Nashville SC 2-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.51
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.72
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
9%
4.32
X/2
11%
6.99
X/X
17%
3.94
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.72
2/X
6%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.43/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.46
-12% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
19.9 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.79 xG 1.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
274 Passes 420
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
21.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-2 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
10.07.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 4-1 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
2-1
AWAY Charlotte
0.93 xG 1.30
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
442 Passes 397
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 26
27 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC squeezed past Charlotte 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nashville SC had 53% of the ball to Charlotte's 47%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.93 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nashville SC and 2.00 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Charlotte?

Nashville SC 2-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 42%, draw 29%, Charlotte 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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