Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Sporting Kansas City v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Sporting Kansas City 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Kansas City squeezed past San Jose Earthquakes 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Kansas City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in Sporting Kansas City's favour, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 1.03 to 1.36.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Sporting Kansas City against 0.83 for San Jose Earthquakes.
Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Result & Final Score
Sporting Kansas City 2 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Sporting Kansas City vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 56%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Kansas City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.