Columbus Crew 3-0 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.91
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.67
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.46
X/2
10%
7.53
X/X
11%
4.64
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
13%
5.58
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.53/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.39
-7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.1 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
3W-1D-2L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.43
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
373 Passes 216
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
19.03.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
02.10.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
20.03.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
24.10.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
15.09.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
3-0
AWAY New York Red Bulls
2.02 xG 0.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
536 Passes 362
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew ran out comfortable winners over New York Red Bulls 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 59% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 41%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 2.02 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.33 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

Columbus Crew 3-0 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 45%, draw 25%, New York Red Bulls 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew)
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