Houston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Mar 2024

Houston Dynamo
1-0 HT 1-0
Portland Timbers
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 29% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.22
X/2
10%
7.97
X/X
9%
4.82
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
8%
6.06
2/X
8%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Houston Dynamo v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.59/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.69
-3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.2 Crosses 14.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.56 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
374 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-3 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.08.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 5-0 HT 4-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
30.06.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-1 HT 2-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
17.04.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
04.09.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-2 HT 0-2 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
24.06.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD

Houston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-0
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.10 xG 1.56
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
491 Passes 333
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo edged past Portland Timbers 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 58% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 42%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.10 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Portland Timbers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.17 for Portland Timbers.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers?

Houston Dynamo 1-0 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Portland Timbers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 49%, draw 27%, Portland Timbers 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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