New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Toronto FC
ABD
5-0
HT 3-0
Toronto FC
CONLK
1-0
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
5-4
HT 1-2
Toronto FC
ABD
2-1
HT 2-0
New York City FC
ABD
2-2
HT 0-2
New York City FC
ABD
New York City FC 2-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC squeezed past Toronto FC 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, New York City FC had 53% of the ball to Toronto FC's 47%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.38 to 1.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for New York City FC and 1.50 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Toronto FC?
New York City FC 2-1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 51%, draw 28%, Toronto FC 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.