New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York City FC v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York City FC 2-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC shaded a tight game against Toronto FC 2-1. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 50%.
By the numbers, possession split 53% to 47% in New York City FC's favour, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.38 to 1.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for New York City FC against 1.50 for Toronto FC.
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Result & Final Score
New York City FC 2 - 1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 60%, draw 24%, Toronto FC 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.