Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toronto FC v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toronto FC 2-3 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC nicked a narrow win over Toronto FC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Toronto FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Toronto FC had 60% of the ball to New York City FC's 40%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.90 to 2.50.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Toronto FC and 2.67 for New York City FC.
Toronto FC vs New York City FC Result & Final Score
Toronto FC 2 - 3 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 41%, draw 28%, New York City FC 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toronto FC) went the other way.