Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Apr 2025

Defensores De Belgrano
2-1 HT 2-1
Estudiantes Caseros
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Defensores De Belgrano vs Estudiantes Caseros Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.4
No
69%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
31%
BTTS Yes
38%
-6.4pp
69%
BTTS No
62%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensores De Belgrano v Estudiantes Caseros — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
0.91/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.10
-19% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
216 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Defensores De Belgrano vs Estudiantes Caseros Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
23.07.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
14.04.2018 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
14.11.2015 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
28.06.2015 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes Caseros 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Defensores De Belgrano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (69%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.25 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 39%, draw 31%, Estudiantes Caseros 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
5 Apr 2025
19:30 Chacarita Juniors vs Defensores Unidos Analysis →
21:00 Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado Analysis →
21:30 Los Andes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis →
21:30 San Miguel vs Atletico Atlanta Analysis →
21:30 San Telmo vs Temperley Analysis →
23:30 Nueva Chicago vs Talleres Remedios Analysis →