Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 Apr 2025

Club Atletico Guemes
1-1 HT 0-0
Alvarado
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.33
No
68%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.1pp
32%
BTTS Yes
39%
-7.2pp
68%
BTTS No
61%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Atletico Guemes v Alvarado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.23/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.38
-4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
320 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Alvarado
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 HT 2-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
31.03.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
15.07.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-2 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
12.03.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
12.06.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes and Alvarado couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Atletico Guemes at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alvarado led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 1.40 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 46%, draw 28%, Alvarado 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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