Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Aug 2024

Club Atletico Guemes
2-1 HT 2-1
Alvarado
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Atletico Guemes v Alvarado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.01/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.42
-25% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Alvarado
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
The Meetings
31.03.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
15.07.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-2 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
12.03.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
12.06.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes squeezed past Alvarado 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Club Atletico Guemes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alvarado led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 1.50 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado?

Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 46%, draw 31%, Alvarado 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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