Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.1pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.8pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.35/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.55
+10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
19.09.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 HT 2-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
06.05.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-4 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
10.04.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
15.08.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
04.04.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste and Tristan Suarez shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ferro Carril Oeste at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.83 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Tristan Suarez?

Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 45%, draw 23%, Tristan Suarez 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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