Deportivo Madryn 2-1 Brown De Adrogue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.75
No
65%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
32%
+3.1pp
65%
BTTS No
68%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -15%
0.93/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.44
-34% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Brown De Adrogue
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
01.04.2024 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
19.08.2023 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
08.04.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-0 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
12.03.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-1 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Brown De Adrogue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn squeezed past Brown De Adrogue 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Madryn as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 1.00 for Brown De Adrogue.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Brown De Adrogue?

Deportivo Madryn 2-1 Brown De Adrogue in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Brown De Adrogue?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 53%, draw 29%, Brown De Adrogue 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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