Brown De Adrogue 0-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.1pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.20/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.08
+7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brown De Adrogue
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
19.08.2023 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
08.04.2023 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-0 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
12.03.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-1 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Brown De Adrogue vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn squeezed past Brown De Adrogue 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 35% / 31%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Madryn found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Brown De Adrogue had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brown De Adrogue and 0.67 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Brown De Adrogue vs Deportivo Madryn?

Brown De Adrogue 0-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brown De Adrogue vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Brown De Adrogue 34%, draw 35%, Deportivo Madryn 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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