Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 San Telmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Apr 2024

Defensores De Belgrano
0-1 HT 0-1
San Telmo
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensores De Belgrano v San Telmo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY San Telmo EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +1%
1.09/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.76
-17% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards –

Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
1W-4D-0L
AWAY San Telmo
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.06.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 1-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
11.02.2023 San Telmo San Telmo 2-2 HT 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
14.08.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
19.09.2021 San Telmo San Telmo 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
10.05.2021 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo edged past Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Defensores De Belgrano at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.40 for San Telmo.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?

Defensores De Belgrano 0-1 San Telmo in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs San Telmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores De Belgrano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 46%, draw 29%, San Telmo 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensores De Belgrano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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