Deportivo Moron 3-0 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.0pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.16/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.09
-3% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
10.01.2021 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
20.11.2019 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
18.10.2015 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 4-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBM
06.06.2015 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBM
23.04.2014 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron ran out comfortable winners over Atletico Atlanta 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Moron found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Atlanta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.50 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Atlanta?

Deportivo Moron 3-0 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 39%, draw 28%, Atletico Atlanta 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Moron), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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