Tristan Suarez 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 39%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.28/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.14
+15% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
19.09.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 HT 2-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
06.05.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-4 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
10.04.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
15.08.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
04.04.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez and Ferro Carril Oeste couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Tristan Suarez and 1.60 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Tristan Suarez 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 36%, draw 27%, Ferro Carril Oeste 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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