Agropecuario Argentino 1-1 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒01:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.5pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.9pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.37/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.08
+23% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
251 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Agropecuario Argentino
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Quilmes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
24.03.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 1-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
28.08.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 3-1 HT 2-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
20.04.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 0-0 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Agropecuario Argentino vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Agropecuario Argentino and Quilmes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 33% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Agropecuario Argentino had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Agropecuario Argentino and 0.67 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Agropecuario Argentino vs Quilmes?

Agropecuario Argentino 1-1 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Agropecuario Argentino vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Agropecuario Argentino 32%, draw 33%, Quilmes 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Quilmes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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