Arsenal Sarandi 3-1 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 30 Mar 2024

Arsenal Sarandi
3-1 HT 1-1
Chacarita Juniors
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒19:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Arsenal Sarandi vs Chacarita Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arsenal Sarandi v Chacarita Juniors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 34%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.67/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.94
+39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Arsenal Sarandi vs Chacarita Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
352 Passes 256
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.04.2018 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-2 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
27.02.2010 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 0-3 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJ
26.09.2009 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJ
13.06.2004 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-2 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJ
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Sarandi beat Chacarita Juniors 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Arsenal Sarandi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chacarita Juniors led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 2.00 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Chacarita Juniors?

Arsenal Sarandi 3-1 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 38%, draw 32%, Chacarita Juniors 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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