San Martin San Juan 0-1 San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
12%
7.04
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.17
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.9
X/1
15%
5.97
X/2
15%
4.95
X/X
19%
3.16
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.9
2/X
4%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.8pp
32%
Draw
33%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.3pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.92/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.79
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.5 Crosses 20.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY San Lorenzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.74 xG 0.95
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
215 Passes 294
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.10.2023 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJK
23.10.2018 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-1 HT 1-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
19.11.2017 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-3 HT 0-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
28.08.2016 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 2-2 HT 1-2 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
01.03.2015 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
10.02.2013 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin San Juan
0-1
AWAY San Lorenzo
0.61 xG 0.24
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
193 Passes 233
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo nicked a narrow win over San Martin San Juan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day San Lorenzo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, San Martin San Juan had 47% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 53%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.61 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.50 for San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs San Lorenzo?

San Martin San Juan 0-1 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 32%, draw 32%, San Lorenzo 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
5 Apr 2025
01:00 Estudiantes vs Belgrano Cordoba Analysis →
21:30 Rosario Central vs Velez Sarsfield Analysis →
21:30 Godoy Cruz vs Independiente Rivadavia Analysis →