Al Bataeh 1-1 Ajman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No OUR CALL
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 23% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.4pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.7pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajman EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.48/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.12
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
224 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.6 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bataeh
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ajman
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.79 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Ajman Ajman 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
10.05.2024 Ajman Ajman 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
27.10.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 1-1 HT 1-1 Ajman Ajman BAE
31.03.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 1-1 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
06.03.2023 Ajman Ajman 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAECK
30.10.2022 Ajman Ajman 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bataeh
1-1
AWAY Ajman
0.61 xG 1.04
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
231 Passes 330
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Bataeh vs Ajman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bataeh and Ajman couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Bataeh had 43% of the ball to Ajman's 57%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.61 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajman led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Bataeh and 1.67 for Ajman.

What was the final score of Al Bataeh vs Ajman?

Al Bataeh 1-1 Ajman in the UAE - League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bataeh vs Ajman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Bataeh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Bataeh 41%, draw 21%, Ajman 38%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Bataeh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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