Al Urooba vs Al Ittihad Kalba Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Urooba v Al Ittihad Kalba — Team-Based Signals
Al Urooba vs Al Ittihad Kalba Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Al Ittihad Kalba
BAE
1-0
HT 1-0
Al Ittihad Kalba
BAELK
2-1
HT 1-0
Al Urooba
BAE
4-0
HT 1-0
Al Urooba
BAELK
Al Urooba 2-1 Al Ittihad Kalba — Actual Match Statistics
Al Urooba squeezed past Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ittihad Kalba at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Al Urooba had 40% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 60%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.67 to 1.34 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Ittihad Kalba.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad Kalba led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Al Urooba and 2.00 for Al Ittihad Kalba.
What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Al Ittihad Kalba?
Al Urooba 2-1 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Al Ittihad Kalba?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad Kalba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 29%, draw 29%, Al Ittihad Kalba 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ittihad Kalba) went the other way.