FC Molodechno 0-1 BATE Borisov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
47%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
15%
+13.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
47%
Away Win
61%
-13.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Molodechno EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Molodechno
0-1
AWAY BATE Borisov
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Molodechno vs BATE Borisov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov edged past FC Molodechno 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BATE Borisov as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, FC Molodechno had 51% of the ball to BATE Borisov's 49%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of FC Molodechno vs BATE Borisov?

FC Molodechno 0-1 BATE Borisov in the Belarus - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Molodechno vs BATE Borisov?

Before kick-off our model rated an BATE Borisov win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Molodechno 29%, draw 24%, BATE Borisov 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BATE Borisov), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BATE Borisov) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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