Hwaseong 0-1 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Apr 2025

Hwaseong
0-1 HT 0-1
Incheon United
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Hwaseong vs Incheon United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hwaseong v Incheon United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -70% / -70%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-13% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -52%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Hwaseong 0-1 Incheon United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
0-1
AWAY Incheon United
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
230 Passes 505
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United edged past Hwaseong 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hwaseong had 35% of the ball to Incheon United's 65%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Incheon United?

Hwaseong 0-1 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 26%, draw 28%, Incheon United 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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