Busan I Park 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.2
6+ Goals
8%
21.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 33% vs market 31.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 33%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.11/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
-42% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.5 Crosses 17.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
486 Passes 369
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.09.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-2 HT 1-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
20.07.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-3 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
07.04.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
12.11.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 2-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.08.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
0-1
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
523 Passes 194
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
33 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons squeezed past Busan I Park 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Jeonnam Dragons found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Busan I Park had 68% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 32%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Busan I Park and 1.17 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Busan I Park 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 38%, draw 27%, Jeonnam Dragons 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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