Jeonnam Dragons 1-2 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+7.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-8.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.33/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.63
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.6 Crosses 19.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 0.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
400 Passes 210
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 9
45 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-3 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
07.04.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
12.11.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 2-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.08.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
02.05.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
26.09.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
1-2
AWAY Busan I Park
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
400 Passes 478
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park nicked a narrow win over Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonnam Dragons at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 46% of the ball to Busan I Park's 54%, shots finished 4-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 1.00 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?

Jeonnam Dragons 1-2 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeonnam Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 44%, draw 27%, Busan I Park 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonnam Dragons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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