Jeonnam Dragons 2-3 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.33/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.63
+8% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
18.5 Crosses 19.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Busan I Park
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.92 xG 0.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
432 Passes 202
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
29 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
12.11.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 2-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.08.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
02.05.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
26.09.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
24.07.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeonnam Dragons
2-3
AWAY Busan I Park
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park squeezed past Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Busan I Park made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeonnam Dragons had 65% of the ball to Busan I Park's 35%, shots finished 22-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeonnam Dragons and 0.50 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?

Jeonnam Dragons 2-3 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeonnam Dragons vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jeonnam Dragons 33%, draw 30%, Busan I Park 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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