Gyeongnam FC 2-2 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 33%
-15% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.47/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.10
-21% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +56%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.4 Crosses 17.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 2.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
310 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
29.11.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
24.09.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
14.08.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
01.03.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
17.09.2022 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
2-2
AWAY Bucheon 1995
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC and Bucheon 1995 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 54% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 46%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.33 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Bucheon 1995?

Gyeongnam FC 2-2 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 38%, draw 27%, Bucheon 1995 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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