Busan I Park 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.56
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.6
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.67/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.25
-35% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
15.6 Crosses 18.6
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Busan I Park
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.73 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 421
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-0 HT 2-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
15.08.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
02.05.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
26.09.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-1 HT 0-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
24.07.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
14.05.2022 Busan I Park Busan I Park 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Busan I Park
0-1
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons nicked a narrow win over Busan I Park 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Busan I Park at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Busan I Park had 55% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 45%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Busan I Park and 0.83 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Busan I Park 0-1 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Busan I Park 45%, draw 28%, Jeonnam Dragons 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Busan I Park) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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