Cheonan City 2-2 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.5pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
0.63/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.16
-49% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
Crosses 21.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.08.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
03.06.2023 Cheonan City Cheonan City 2-3 HT 2-3 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
29.04.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
2-2
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheonan City and Gyeongnam FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongnam FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheonan City had 53% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 47%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gyeongnam FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cheonan City and 2.00 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC?

Cheonan City 2-2 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 27%, draw 32%, Gyeongnam FC 41%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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