Gyeongnam FC 1-4 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.47/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
-14% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +61%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.5 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
316 Passes 465
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
31.03.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
29.11.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
24.09.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
14.08.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
01.03.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-4
AWAY Bucheon 1995
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 3
485 Passes 201
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 ran out comfortable winners over Gyeongnam FC 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Bucheon 1995 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 68% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 32%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.17 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Bucheon 1995?

Gyeongnam FC 1-4 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 38%, draw 29%, Bucheon 1995 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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