Suwon City 1-1 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.48
6+ Goals
12%
22.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.48 — our 26% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.66
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
14%
6.23
X/2
10%
5.16
X/X
9%
4.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
35.0
2/2
17%
3.48
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 8% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+9.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.5pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-5.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
0.72/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/2.07
+41% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
13.8 Crosses 16.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
278 Passes 370
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
06.10.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
19.05.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
02.04.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
16.09.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 2-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
02.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-1
AWAY Pohang Steelers
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
246 Passes 408
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City and Pohang Steelers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Suwon City had 39% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 61%, shots finished 17-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Suwon City and 1.33 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Pohang Steelers?

Suwon City 1-1 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 42%, draw 24%, Pohang Steelers 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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