Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.44 — our 29% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.38
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.64
X/2
13%
8.65
X/X
14%
5.71
2/1
7%
21.3
2/2
11%
6.19
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
52%
-13.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 28%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.67/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.96
+10% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +46%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.8 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Daegu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 1.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
394 Passes 253
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Daegu Daegu 3-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
29.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
03.03.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
16.10.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
28.08.2022 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
14.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-0
AWAY Daegu
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
317 Passes 373
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu got the better of Daegu 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Gimcheon Sangmu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 46% of the ball to Daegu's 54%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 0.83 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 39%, draw 30%, Daegu 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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