Daegu 3-0 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.81
6+ Goals
11%
16.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.04
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.8
X/2
14%
5.33
X/X
18%
4.29
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
11%
3.59
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.26/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.99
-76% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 0.99
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
238 Passes 420
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.06.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
03.03.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
16.10.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
28.08.2022 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
14.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 1-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
02.03.2022 Daegu Daegu 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
3-0
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
287 Passes 310
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Crosses 30
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu ran out comfortable winners over Gimcheon Sangmu 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Daegu made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Daegu had 48% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 52%, shots finished 10-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Daegu and 0.83 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Daegu 3-0 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Daegu 35%, draw 31%, Gimcheon Sangmu 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daegu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
16 Aug 2024
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