FC Seoul 1-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Aug 2024

FC Seoul
1-0 HT 1-0
Jeju United
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

FC Seoul vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
20%
4.37
X/2
6%
7.45
X/X
11%
4.57
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.65
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.1
Value flag · 2/X at 14.1 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Seoul v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
0.70/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/3.00
-60% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -55%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
397 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
15.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

FC Seoul vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
423 Passes 347
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.07.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 3-2 HT 2-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
16.03.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
11.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
23.09.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
20.05.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
18.03.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK

FC Seoul 1-0 Jeju United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
1-0
AWAY Jeju United
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
344 Passes 395
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul squeezed past Jeju United 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Seoul as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 47% of the ball to Jeju United's 53%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Seoul and 1.00 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Jeju United?

FC Seoul 1-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 46%, draw 30%, Jeju United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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