Jeju United 3-2 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 6 Jul 2024

Jeju United
3-2 HT 2-0
FC Seoul
📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Jeju United vs FC Seoul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 32% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.67
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.44
X/2
13%
4.81
X/X
13%
4.46
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
3.1
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jeju United v FC Seoul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 46%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.50/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.65
-52% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +69%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 467 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Jeju United vs FC Seoul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Seoul
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.33 xG 0.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 442
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 19
7 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
11.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
23.09.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
20.05.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
18.03.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
05.08.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-2 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Jeju United 3-2 FC Seoul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
3-2
AWAY FC Seoul
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United squeezed past FC Seoul 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Jeju United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jeju United had 40% of the ball to FC Seoul's 60%, shots finished 16-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeju United and 1.33 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs FC Seoul?

Jeju United 3-2 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 36%, draw 31%, FC Seoul 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeju United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jeju United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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