Daegu 3-3 Pohang Steelers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.59
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
16%
6.44
X/2
13%
4.96
X/X
15%
4.38
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.16
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.61
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +54%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Pohang Steelers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.10 xG 0.80
39% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
215 Passes 552
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-1 HT 0-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
25.11.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
24.09.2023 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
09.05.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
26.02.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 3-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
03.09.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 4-1 HT 3-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
3-3
AWAY Pohang Steelers
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Pohang Steelers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu and Pohang Steelers shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Daegu had 50% of the ball to Pohang Steelers's 50%, shots finished 20-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pohang Steelers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Daegu and 2.00 for Pohang Steelers.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Pohang Steelers?

Daegu 3-3 Pohang Steelers in the South Kore - K League Classic on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Pohang Steelers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Daegu 34%, draw 31%, Pohang Steelers 35%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pohang Steelers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
6 Jul 2024
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