FC Seoul 2-0 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 31% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
17%
4.8
X/2
12%
6.15
X/X
15%
4.24
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
14%
4.6
2/X
6%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
1.25/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.14
-12% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.5 Crosses 16.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.70 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
468 Passes 327
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
23.09.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-3 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
20.05.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
18.03.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
05.08.2022 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-2 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
02.07.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 2-2 HT 2-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
2-0
AWAY Jeju United
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
383 Passes 341
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Seoul vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Seoul beat Jeju United 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; FC Seoul found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, FC Seoul had 54% of the ball to Jeju United's 46%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Seoul and 1.17 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of FC Seoul vs Jeju United?

FC Seoul 2-0 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Seoul vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 37%, draw 29%, Jeju United 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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