Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.43
6+ Goals
10%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.78
X/2
16%
6.25
X/X
13%
3.96
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
9%
4.79
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +4%
0.93/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.25
-31% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.0 Crosses 13.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gangwon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.95 xG 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 327
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
01.10.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
07.06.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
26.02.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-0 HT 2-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
12.12.2021 Gangwon Gangwon 4-1 HT 3-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
08.12.2021 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-1
AWAY Gangwon
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
346 Passes 528
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Daejeon Citizen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 46% of the ball to Gangwon's 54%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daejeon Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.17 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?

Daejeon Citizen 1-1 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 41%, draw 28%, Gangwon 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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