Daegu 1-1 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 16 Mar 2024

Daegu
1-1 HT 1-0
Suwon City
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Daegu vs Suwon City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.76
6+ Goals
11%
16.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 29% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.83
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.56
X/2
7%
7.14
X/X
14%
4.41
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
12%
5.34
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Daegu v Suwon City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.36/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.33
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
15.7 Crosses 12.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Daegu vs Suwon City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Suwon City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 0.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
278 Passes 427
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
10.06.2023 Daegu Daegu 3-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
26.04.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
09.10.2022 Daegu Daegu 2-1 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
31.07.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
03.07.2022 Daegu Daegu 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK

Daegu 1-1 Suwon City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-1
AWAY Suwon City
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 561
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu and Suwon City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Daegu at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Daegu had 37% of the ball to Suwon City's 63%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Daegu had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Daegu and 1.17 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Suwon City?

Daegu 1-1 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Daegu 45%, draw 29%, Suwon City 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Daegu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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