Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 RKAV Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.3pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY RKAV Volendam EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.64/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/1.45
-4% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-1D-0L
AWAY RKAV Volendam
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 RKAV Volendam RKAV Volendam 0-0 HT 0-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
1-0
AWAY RKAV Volendam
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs RKAV Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis nicked a narrow win over RKAV Volendam 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 20% / 39%) promised a tight game; Excelsior Maassluis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 51% of the ball to RKAV Volendam's 49%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs RKAV Volendam?

Excelsior Maassluis 1-0 RKAV Volendam in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs RKAV Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior Maassluis win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 41%, draw 20%, RKAV Volendam 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Excelsior Maassluis) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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