SV Spakenburg 3-1 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.4pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.53/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/2.20
+37% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Jong Sparta
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-5 HT 0-0 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
20.04.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 1-2 HT 1-1 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
18.11.2023 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
3-1
AWAY Jong Sparta
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 17
11 Shots on Target 10
11 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg got the better of Jong Sparta 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 52% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 48%, shots finished 19-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for SV Spakenburg and 0.67 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta?

SV Spakenburg 3-1 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 47%, draw 27%, Jong Sparta 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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