Jong Sparta 0-5 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.5pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 58%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.05/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.31
-14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 57%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
0W-0D-2L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 1-2 HT 1-1 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
18.11.2023 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
0-5
AWAY SV Spakenburg
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg ran out comfortable winners over Jong Sparta 5-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 26% of the ball to SV Spakenburg's 74%, shots finished 7-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, SV Spakenburg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jong Sparta and 2.50 for SV Spakenburg.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs SV Spakenburg?

Jong Sparta 0-5 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 27%, draw 26%, SV Spakenburg 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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