GVVV 1-2 ACV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 26 Oct 2024

GVVV
1-2 HT 0-2
ACV
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
57%
-14.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GVVV EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY ACV EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.71/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.87
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
341 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GVVV
1W-0D-1L
AWAY ACV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
23.03.2024 GVVV GVVV 3-1 HT 1-0 ACV HOLTW
14.10.2023 ACV 3-0 HT 3-0 GVVV GVVV HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GVVV
1-2
AWAY ACV
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GVVV vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACV nicked a narrow win over GVVV 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was GVVV at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, GVVV had 62% of the ball to ACV's 38%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for GVVV and 2.00 for ACV.

What was the final score of GVVV vs ACV?

GVVV 1-2 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GVVV vs ACV?

Before kick-off our model rated a GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split GVVV 42%, draw 27%, ACV 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (GVVV), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GVVV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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