23/03/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
GVVV vs ACV Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
27%
Draw
24%
34%
Away Win
28%
53%
Under 2.5
42%
47%
Over 2.5
58%
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
48%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
GVVV v ACV — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
GVVV
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
ACV
EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% /
+17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+35% /
+35%
1.67/1.01
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.48/2.02
-3%
/
+92%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+64%
/
-33%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
396 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
303 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
GVVV vs ACV Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
GVVV
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
ACV
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
3
9
Corners
6
The Meetings
14.10.2023
ACV
3-0
HT 3-0
GVVV
HOLTW
GVVV
HOLTW
GVVV 3-1 ACV — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
GVVV
3-1
AWAY
ACV
53%
Ball Possession
47%
18
Total Shots
7
8
Shots on Target
2
5
Corners
8
0
Yellow Cards
3
POST-MATCH
GVVV vs ACV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
GVVV saw off ACV 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day GVVV made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, GVVV had 53% of the ball to ACV's 47%, shots finished 18-7.
What was the final score of GVVV vs ACV?
GVVV 3-1 ACV in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for GVVV vs ACV?
Before kick-off our model rated a GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split GVVV 39%, draw 27%, ACV 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GVVV), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (GVVV)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HOLTW
More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
23 Mar 2024