Kozakken Boys 3-4 Jong Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.5pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kozakken Boys EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Almere City EU Bookmakers 43%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
1.00/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.94
-14% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kozakken Boys
3-4
AWAY Jong Almere City
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kozakken Boys vs Jong Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jong Almere City edged past Kozakken Boys 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Jong Almere City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kozakken Boys had 46% of the ball to Jong Almere City's 54%, shots finished 12-20.

What was the final score of Kozakken Boys vs Jong Almere City?

Kozakken Boys 3-4 Jong Almere City in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kozakken Boys vs Jong Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jong Almere City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kozakken Boys 33%, draw 24%, Jong Almere City 44%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jong Almere City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jong Almere City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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