SV Spakenburg 3-1 Lisse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.27
Draw
16%
5.71
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-8.2pp
16%
Draw
15%
+1.5pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisse EU Bookmakers 14%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.24/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.19/1.62
+21% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Spakenburg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lisse
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
14.10.2023 Lisse Lisse 1-3 HT 1-1 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg HOLTW
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs Lisse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg saw off Lisse 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs Lisse?

SV Spakenburg 3-1 Lisse in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs Lisse?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 66%, draw 16%, Lisse 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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