Jong Sparta 1-2 SV Spakenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.63
Over 2.5
54%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.0pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
47%
Away Win
57%
-9.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.1pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 61%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.78/1.51
-100% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +147% / -31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY SV Spakenburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 SV Spakenburg SV Spakenburg 3-1 HT 1-1 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs SV Spakenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg nicked a narrow win over Jong Sparta 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs SV Spakenburg?

Jong Sparta 1-2 SV Spakenburg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs SV Spakenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 30%, draw 22%, SV Spakenburg 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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