AFC Amsterdamsche 3-2 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 42%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
2.69/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.18
+110% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Katwijk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.64 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
217 Passes 380
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 Katwijk Katwijk 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
06.04.2019 Katwijk Katwijk 2-3 HT 1-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
10.03.2018 Katwijk Katwijk 2-2 HT 0-2 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
3-2
AWAY Katwijk
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche edged past Katwijk 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 38% — and on the day AFC Amsterdamsche made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 44% of the ball to Katwijk's 56%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for AFC Amsterdamsche and 2.00 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Katwijk?

AFC Amsterdamsche 3-2 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 37%, draw 26%, Katwijk 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
20 Apr 2024
15:30 GVVV vs Noordwijk Analysis →
15:30 Koninklijke HFC vs Excelsior Maassluis Analysis →
15:30 Scheveningen vs HHC Hardenberg Analysis →
16:00 Rijnsburgse Boys vs ACV Analysis →
16:00 Quick Boys vs Kozakken Boys Analysis →
16:30 Jong Sparta vs SV Spakenburg Analysis →