20/04/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
GVVV vs Noordwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
25%
Draw
24%
38%
Away Win
29%
45%
Under 2.5
42%
55%
Over 2.5
58%
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
46%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
GVVV v Noordwijk — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
GVVV
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Noordwijk
EU Bookmakers 32%
+19% /
+19%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-7%
2.02/1.01
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.76/1.02
+28%
/
+65%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-54%
/
+41%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
334 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
309 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
0.0
GVVV vs Noordwijk Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
GVVV
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Noordwijk
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
18.11.2023
Noordwijk
0-0
HT 0-0
GVVV
HOLTW
0-0
HT 0-0
GVVV
HOLTW
GVVV 2-1 Noordwijk — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
GVVV
2-1
AWAY
Noordwijk
49%
Ball Possession
51%
18
Total Shots
12
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
GVVV vs Noordwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
GVVV nicked a narrow win over Noordwijk 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 38% — and on the day GVVV made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, GVVV had 49% of the ball to Noordwijk's 51%, shots finished 18-12.
What was the final score of GVVV vs Noordwijk?
GVVV 2-1 Noordwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for GVVV vs Noordwijk?
Before kick-off our model rated a GVVV win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split GVVV 38%, draw 25%, Noordwijk 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/25/38)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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HOLTW
More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
20 Apr 2024