Al Rayyan 1-2 Al Sadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.13
2-3 Goals
35%
2.09
4-5 Goals
30%
2.45
6+ Goals
14%
5.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.9pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Sadd EU Bookmakers 57%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.72/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.87
-46% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
287 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 86%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
8.5 Crosses 13.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Rayyan
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Sadd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.35 xG 1.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
279 Passes 430
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2024 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
28.04.2024 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 4-0 HT 1-0 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
09.12.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 4-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
28.04.2023 Al Sadd Al Sadd 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
11.01.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Sadd Al Sadd KAT
08.03.2022 Al Sadd Al Sadd 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Rayyan
1-2
AWAY Al Sadd
0.99 xG 2.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
266 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Al Rayyan vs Al Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sadd edged past Al Rayyan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Sadd as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Rayyan had 47% of the ball to Al Sadd's 53%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.99 to 2.99 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Sadd's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Sadd led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Rayyan and 1.83 for Al Sadd.

What was the final score of Al Rayyan vs Al Sadd?

Al Rayyan 1-2 Al Sadd in the Qatar League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Rayyan vs Al Sadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Sadd win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Rayyan 24%, draw 24%, Al Sadd 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sadd), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Sadd) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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